A tragedy in the making

Government seems to think it’s best placed to play an active role in Telkom's future. It said last week that nationalisation was indeed an option. But the only way to save the company and deliver broadband to more South Africans is to privatise it fully. By Duncan McLeod.

Public enterprises director-general Tshediso Matona said last week government had made no decision on the vexing question of Telkom. Ruling-party politicians are debating whether the company will remain listed on the JSE or whether government will buy out the shares it doesn’t own and once again turn Telkom into a state-owned enterprise.

That this conversation is happening at all is absurd and illustrates clearly just how far the ANC-led government has strayed from the liberalisation agenda of the Nelson Mandela administration and the extent to which it is now influenced by the left wing of the party and its socialist alliance partners.

The fact is the state should have sold its stake in Telkom years ago, when the company was riding high on the last days of its monopoly control of the sector and its shares were worth many times what they are today. The tens of billions of rand in profits it could have realised by selling its shares then would have been enough to fund the development of a national broadband network in underserviced areas or to pay private-sector operators to build that network.

Instead, it has foolishly clung on to its nearly 40% stake in the belief that Telkom is somehow of “strategic national importance”, whatever that means.

Instead of setting Telkom free to compete on an equal footing with Vodacom, MTN, Cell C, Neotel and the hundreds of licensed Internet service providers, successive communications ministers decided they needed to continue to exercise control over the company in the misguided belief they could convince it to extend telecommunications services to more South Africans.

The opposite has happened: while the cellular operators built services into the remoter parts of the country, an overstaffed and inefficient Telkom has chosen instead to cherry-pick customers in relatively wealthy urban areas. The state has achieved precisely none of its lofty goals of universal telecoms services by remaining a shareholder in the fixed-line operator.

Instead, political meddling in Telkom has put the company in a precarious position. Former communications minister Ivy Matsepe-Casaburri appointed a CEO in 2005 who had no experience in telecoms and who rushed Telkom into a series of bad decisions, including the acquisition of Nigeria’s Multi- Links, which have cost the company billions of rand. The destruction of shareholder value has been remarkable. It’s an indictment of a government that believes it knows best but clearly doesn’t have a clue what it’s doing.

In the past five years, the market has changed considerably, largely as a result of liberalisation forced through court action on a bungling administration. Now government appears intent on veering further to the left, taking an even more direct role in a company it has actively damaged for so many years.

The state seems to think it needs to become an even more active role player in ensuring all South Africans are given access to broadband. It appears to have learnt nothing from its disastrous attempt to establish Sentech as an alternative to Telkom.

As reformist African countries liberalise their markets, SA is moving in the other direction. Our politicians seem to think they can do better than companies operating in a free and competitive market in delivering affordable services to consumers. It’s woolly, leftist thinking that will condemn the country to sitting on the sidelines of the broadband revolution as smarter African nations free up their markets and leave us behind. — (c) 2012 NewsCentral Media

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  • Davebee

    The bigger tragedy is that the clown-shoes leftists and undercover Communists now making up the bulk of Zuma’s so-called cabinet are actively doing a Telkom WITH THE ENTIRE COUNTRY. Now that really is a scary prospect Duncan!

  • Kerron Calenborne

    Privatisation initiatives the world over have been taking place for decades – governments recognising the benefits to state coffers and the general public, at the same time as handing over the reins of running what should be commercial entities to commercial entities. Being out of step with international trends is not clever when there are no good reasons for it. This article says it all.

  • colinza

    A lot of this I’ve been waiting to be said. Cudos for stating it like it is – socialist dictatorship from page 1 of China’s history books.

  • capeleopard

    @6f9b7abafd4cf30f35991279c1912e4b:disqus Perfectly put – as was Duncan’s piece. Seeing what can be achieved elsewhere (writing this from UK) by liberalising telecoms makes me weep for SA.

  • http://twitter.com/waroop Rupert Bryant

    Hear hear Duncan! Well said.

  • Buzz

    The ANC knows what it is doing. The privatisation of Telkom would provide more South Africans with access to broadband – the ANC would assist in creating its own Arab Spring.

    Keeping the rural poor in the dark keeps the ANC in power. Undermining Telkom is part of the plan.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Will-Hahn/100002277819866 Will Hahn

    I’ve always loved the message, Duncan, but right now I cannot agree and here’s why. Telkom in its current condition would founder in an open market- sure it’s embarrassing to acknowledge failure, but you don’t make things better by cutting it loose. “Set them free” to compete? How about lamb among the wolves, or maybe beached whale among the seagulls… the government needs a CONSISTENT policy now more than ever, so whatever they do with Telkom has to be matched with BB Infraco. I hear no way they will ever let that go- really, the situation’s been untenable for several years.
    A state-owned Telkom :: swallows hard :: could work. Step one is separating the retail from wholesale (again, like BBI) and then leveling the playing field around rates, loop unbundling, etc. I could see that- but it’s hard to envision government doing it on purpose.

  • mcleodd

    Hi Will,

    Please allow me to respectfully disagree.

    Why would Telkom founder in a free market? The company is being strangled as a partial SOE. There’s no reason to believe its situation would improve as a full SOE. In fact, given the performance of other wholly owned SOEs, evidence suggests the situation would go from bad to disastrous.

    Why would Telkom not survive as a company set free to compete with its rivals? The company has amazing assets that are waiting to be leveraged by smart managers.

    Agree with you that there should have been structural separation years ago, but arguably we’re beyond that now. And I don’t trust the current government to do that properly given its inability to even deliver textbooks to school children. Better to privatise when the state has shown itself to be incompetent.

    Duncan

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Will-Hahn/100002277819866 Will Hahn

    Duncan, I can agree it’s probably better to privatize as a general rule. I’m simply skeptical the government can let go. Thus, separation is better late than never, and that’s what I was focusing on. Let the retail player go into the free (-ish) market, that’s fine. I’d want to see where these “amazing assets” go before I make my call about how well they’d do! There is some flavoring here, but on balance I’d guess most of the high-ranking execs would want to stay with the retail arm. I could live with that, the assets I think are amazing are physical and can definitely work as a separate company. But keep it bound up as a diversified company and just withdraw government backing, I don’t think it can get over the hump anymore. They’re in for a penny now.
    I actually don’t think we disagree, just priorities and our sense of what goverment would do. You’ve been calling for privatization since maybe 2002? How’s that working out!

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